Prediction of pediatric death in the year after hospitalization: a population-level retrospective cohort study
Child; Female; Humans; infant; Male; Young Adult; Cohort Studies; Patient Discharge; Pediatrics; Hospital Mortality; Logistic Models; Prognosis; adolescent; Preschool; infant; Models; Newborn; retrospective studies; Theoretical; mortality; Pennsylvania/epidemiology
BACKGROUND: The study of how the quality of pediatric end-of-life care varies across systems of health care delivery and financing is hampered by lack of methods to adjust for the probability of death in populations of ill children. OBJECTIVE: To develop a prognostication models using administratively available data to predict the probability of in-hospital and 1-year postdischarge death. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study of 0-21 year old patients admitted to Pennsylvania hospitals from 1994-2001 and followed for 1-year postdischarge mortality, assessing logistic regression models ability to predict in-hospital and 1-year postdischarge deaths. RESULTS: Among 678,365 subjects there were 2,202 deaths that occurred during the hospitalization (0.32% of cohort) and 860 deaths that occurred 365 days or less after hospital discharge (0.13% of cohort). The model predicting hospitalization deaths exhibited a C statistic of 0.91, with sensitivity of 65.9% and specificity of 92.9% at the 99th percentile cutpoint; while the model predicting 1-year postdischarge deaths exhibited a C statistic of 0.92, with sensitivity of 56.1% and specificity of 98.4% at the 99th percentile cutpoint. CONCLUSIONS: Population-level mortality prognostication of hospitalized children using administratively available data is feasible, assisting the comparison of health care services delivered to children with the highest probability of dying during and after a hospital admission.
2009
Feudtner C; Hexem KR; Shabbout M; Feinstein JA; Sochalski J; Silber JH
Journal Of Palliative Medicine
2009
Article information provided for research and reference use only. PedPalASCNET does not hold any rights over the resource listed here. All rights are retained by the journal listed under publisher and/or the creator(s).
Journal Article
<a href="http://doi.org/10.1089/jpm.2008.0206" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">10.1089/jpm.2008.0206</a>
Distance from home when death occurs: a population-based study of Washington State, 1989-2002
Child; Humans; infant; Palliative Care; Terminal Care; Adult; Hospital Mortality; Aged; Middle Aged; Health Services Accessibility; Death; Residence Characteristics; Hospitals; Washington; Nursing Homes; Emergency Service; adolescent; Preschool; infant; Newborn; location of death; Hospital
OBJECTIVE: For patients who die in hospitals, the regionalization of tertiary health care services may be increasing the home-to-hospital distance, particularly for younger patients whose care is especially regionalized and for whom access to and use of home hospice services remains limited. The objective of this study was to test the hypotheses that the distance from home at the time of death in a hospital has increased over time and is inversely related to the age of the dying patient. METHODS: A population-based case series was conducted in Washington State of all deaths of state residents from 1989 to 2002. The main outcome measure was driving distance between home residence and location at the time of death. RESULTS: The overall mean distance from home to the hospital where death occurred has increased by 1% annually. Children who died in hospitals were much farther from home than their adult counterparts: the mean distance was 37.4 km for neonates and 50.9 km for children who were aged 1 to 9 years, compared with 19.9 km for adults who were aged 60 to 79 years and 14.0 km for patients who were older than 79 years. Disparities of distance were even greater among patients who were at the 90th percentile for distance (85.6 km for neonates compared with 30.8 for patient who were older than 79 years). CONCLUSIONS: The distance between home residence and the hospital where death occurs is greatest for children and has increased over time. Both of these findings have implications for the design of local and regional pediatric end-of-life supportive care services.
2006
Feudtner C; Silveira MJ; Shabbout M; Hoskins RE
Pediatrics
2006
Article information provided for research and reference use only. PedPalASCNET does not hold any rights over the resource listed here. All rights are retained by the journal listed under publisher and/or the creator(s).
Journal Article
<a href="http://doi.org/10.1542/peds.2005-2078" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">10.1542/peds.2005-2078</a>